Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 16.272877 18.948755 21.877101 25.312931 29.226745 33.539014 38.642749
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.698069 15.298294 19.652347 25.273126 32.300695 40.757748 51.662232
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.871316 12.739369 17.804992 24.851605 34.314283 46.484277 63.205130
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.901349 10.742066 16.125196 24.098420 35.457235 50.879522 73.180990
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.696958 9.516815 15.196198 24.073687 37.370200 56.261719 84.763232
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.838866 8.619279 14.546979 24.268023 39.484784 61.977685 97.179962
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.831174 7.282742 12.991866 22.811945 38.865843 63.530031 103.524002
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.435235 6.898255 12.888453 23.607827 41.768290 70.560218 118.606412
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.182881 6.719830 13.091425 24.906528 45.570958 79.258693 136.913849
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.697863 6.016628 12.264841 24.304303 46.090354 82.673446 146.977332
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.222773 5.243602 11.192205 23.107002 45.415130 83.993553 153.617304
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.103979 5.185053 11.466610 24.427586 49.332561 93.371493 174.443970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.025878 5.223176 11.978367 26.345531 54.688838 105.945960 202.207073
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.782097 4.848435 11.606128 26.499377 56.796443 113.032199 221.101470
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.529154 4.398725 11.003465 26.098287 57.775662 118.135560 236.835253
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.289663 3.927765 10.273828 25.318739 57.889766 121.592064 249.754687
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.134432 3.640559 9.916201 25.294409 59.528902 128.058033 268.747874
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.013084 3.418360 9.676249 25.497892 61.654534 135.618648 290.348582
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.822918 2.951537 8.751520 23.975449 59.868466 135.203277 296.331232
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.765707 2.871701 8.805707 24.807704 63.386954 145.853877 325.028444
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.734545 2.867543 9.060345 26.165475 68.225785 159.591706 360.853981
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.631892 2.602874 8.557879 25.535900 68.380422 163.429854 376.600841
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.523682 2.288209 7.856046 24.284016 66.912152 163.633992 384.743661